Thursday, April 29, 2010

Carlsberg to cost more next month


"the impact of the price increase on Carlsberg’s earnings, if any, would be marginal."
"We don’t foresee earnings being bumped up"
==> It seem earnings would be stagnant/marginal increase.

Asked about prospects, Ravn said the company had a “good feeling” about this year. “We think the industry will grow by about 2% after contracting last year.”
For Carlsberg, it would ride on the synergies it would continue to create with Carlsberg Singapore Pte Ltd as well as further develop new products to capture higher sales,
==> The "good feeling" worth a growth rate of 2%. Huh... finally, new products is the right way to do to capture higher sales. Keep up the good work. !!


Managing director says company playing catch-up with increase in raw material prices
KUALA LUMPUR: Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Bhd will increase the prices of its beer and stout products by an average of about 3% next month, says managing director Soren Ravn.
“We are trying to play catch-up with the rise (in price) of raw materials such as malt and hops which have increased 10% on average over the past five years,” he told reporters after a shareholders’ meeting yesterday.
Ravn said the company had last year increased prices only “slightly”, taking into consideration the economic downturn of 2008 and its flow-through effect on consumers last year.
It is understood that the average annual increase on Carlsberg products over the past five years is about 2%.
We are trying to play catch-up with the price rise says CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD MD SOREN RAVN ON THE 3% INCREASE NEXT MONTH

The price increase would be industry wide, according to Ravn.
OSK Research Sdn Bhd analyst Vincent Lim, who covers the company, said the impact of the price increase on Carlsberg’s earnings, if any, would be marginal.
“They have been doing this historically, it’s just simply to pass on costs to consumers. We don’t foresee earnings being bumped up,” he said.
Asked about prospects, Ravn said the company had a “good feeling” about this year. “We think the industry will grow by about 2% after contracting last year.”
For Carlsberg, it would ride on the synergies it would continue to create with Carlsberg Singapore Pte Ltd as well as further develop new products to capture higher sales, Ravn said.
Carlsberg Malaysia, which is a 51%-owned unit of Denmark-based Carlberg AS, acquired Carlsberg Singapore for RM370mil in the fourth quarter last year.
Carlsberg Malaysia has a profit guarantee of S$24mil from the acquisition for the financial years ending Dec 31, 2009 (FY09) and FY10.
Chairman Datuk Lim Say Chong said the company, which enjoys the lion share of the local beer market, was expected to pay out 50% to 70% of distributable profits this financial year.
The group distributed 69% of its FY09 net profit to shareholders.
For FY09, Carlsberg reported a net profit of RM75.9mil against RM76.1mil in FY08.
Among its most popular brands are Carlsberg Green, Skol, Royal Stout, Carlsberg Gold and Carlsberg Special Brew, which accounted for 95% of the company’s total sales last year.

21 comments:

Anonymous said...

Today, sold some Protasco at 1.03-1.04, realize few k contra profit, sold also some Nihsin at 21.5sen, realize paper profit. today add another new stock: OKA, bought at 60-60.5sen

Update portfolio + margin line

1. Pharma 63.7% (cost: RM 4.30)
2. kfima 28.2% (cost 1.01)
3. Manulife 27.4% (cost 2.65)
4. Keladi 25% (cost: 15.7sen)
5. Protasco 13.9% (cost 1.01)
6. CCM Duopharma 12% (cost 2.39)
7. Nihsin 11.8% (cost: 21sen)
8. Cresbld 11.6% (cost 72.2sen)
9. OKA 5.2% (cost 60.3sen)


Second portfolio + margin line
1. CCM duopharma 42.5% (cost 2.40)
2. Keladi 28.2% (cost: 16.2sen)
3. Chuan 16.2% (cost 60.5sen

Anonymous said...

Today, sold off all nihsin at 21.5-22.5; protasco at 1.03-1.04 and some Pharma at 4.95-5.15, realize handsome paper profit :D)

Today, portfolio add another new stocks, classic scenic, bought at 67-67.5sen.

Anonymous said...

Update portfolio + margin line

1. Pharma 55% (cost: RM 4.30)
2. kfima 28.2% (cost 1.01)
3. Manulife 27.4% (cost 2.65)
4. Keladi 25% (cost: 15.7sen)
5. Classic scenic 20%(cost 67.3sen)
6. CCM Duopharma 12% (cost 2.39)
8. Cresbld 11.6% (cost 72.2sen)
9. OKA 5.2% (cost 60.3sen)


Second portfolio + margin line
1. CCM duopharma 42.5% (cost 2.40)
2. Keladi 28.2% (cost: 16.2sen)
3. Chuan 16.2% (cost 60.5sen

horse said...

congrat hng. :)

Market potentially to go higher next week. :)

Anonymous said...

Classic scenic is cash rich company, and have propose 14% or 7sen TE dividend. Based on today closing price of 67.5sen, its dividend yield is more than 10% net!

Anonymous said...

Today, increase further stake of classic scenic, bought at 67.5-68sen, raising it to top 2 holding in the portfolio.

today, also sold off all cresbld at 74.5-75.5sen, realize all paper profit.

Portfolio still awaiting pharma to declare its final dividend of 37sen soon.

Update portfolio + margin line

1. Pharma 55% (cost: RM 4.30)
2. Classic scenic 36%(cost 67.7sen
3. kfima 28.2% (cost 1.01)
4. Manulife 27.4% (cost 2.65)
5. Keladi 25% (cost: 15.7sen)
6. CCM Duopharma 12% (cost 2.39)
7. OKA 5.2% (cost 60.3sen)


Second portfolio + margin line
1. CCM duopharma 42.5% (cost 2.40)
2. Keladi 28.2% (cost: 16.2sen)
3. Chuan 16.2% (cost 60.5sen

horse said...

Congrat hng,
yr pharma profit almost a dollar per piece. great one. :)
55% of yr portfolio, profit must be extremely substantial. :)

if one were to follow yr portfolio, sure they r in big money as well. :)

Good trades friend.

Eric Kang said...

hi hng, i am just a new learner in this stock market.. can i know how do you make money when the stock only rose for few cents? example is nihsin. you bought at 21, sold at 21.5-22.5. Assuming you buy 100k units, you earn only rm21500-rm21000=rm500 (if minus brokerage fee, i think the profit is rm300?)
hope you can give me some tips on how to earn money based on few cents increment.
Thanks in advance.

Anonymous said...

horse

Thanks, i'm still holding tight on pharma in anticipate its dividend of 37sen will be declared soon, hopefully can reap at least 25-30% net profit margin :D), which in turn can boost my total capital return and may resulted KPI achieve sooner than expected.

Anonymous said...

Eric kang

Please refer to my previous posting on these blog.

Anonymous said...

Today, decided to take profit first on pharma in view of uncertainly global market/china policy change and fear of new high of KLCI this morning may trigger correction soon. Sold partial pharma at 5.12-5.19; realize handsome paper profit, take contra profit on cscenic, sold at 69sen

portfolio have also take some paper profit on CCM duapharma in last few day, ranging from 2.45-2.49.

Update portfolio + margin line

1. Pharma 40.6% (cost: RM 4.30)
2. Classic scenic 36% (cost 68sen0
3. kfima 28.2% (cost 1.01)
4. Manulife 27.4% (cost 2.65)
5. Keladi 25% (cost: 15.7sen)
6. CCM Duopharma 7.4% (cost 2.39)
7. OKA 5.2% (cost 60.3sen)


Second portfolio + margin line
1. CCM duopharma 42.5% (cost 2.40)
2. Keladi 28.2% (cost: 16.2sen)
3. Chuan 16.2% (cost 60.5sen

horse said...

wow, non stop making money.
poor me, still hanging & waiting for div. :)

Anonymous said...

horse

You already profiting so much on Citibank and favo, commanding net profit margin 25-35%, can afford to rest now :)

horse said...

all i can say is this month is better than last month. :)
Hopefully, mkt can continue to rise further but it seem sentiment is making a turn. :(

Anonymous said...

This morning, market almost touch 1500 level, the highest mark!!! but, US market still swinging wildly; Europe in turmoil; and Chinese market running around like a chicken without a head- who knows! Lets play it safe and cash in chip/ de-leverage stock portfolio

Anonymous said...

just Bought maximum Encorp at 1.05

Anonymous said...

Buy maximum Encorp for upcoming catalyst;

a. Dividend: 5sen

b. 2 Redeemable convertible secured loan stocks (RCSLS), 5-year, coupon rate 6%, payable quarterly + free 1 Warrant for every four 4 existing ordinary shares

horse said...

hng,
yr encorp already in profit at 1.05. :)
Good trade.

Anonymous said...

horse

I intend to wait little longer for its dividend of 5sen, RCSLS (5year, 6% yield) and free warrant (conversion at par value).

Encorp already long in my radar list, but miss to buy it when it was at below RM 1.00. Lucky, today, there is massive sell out at 1.05, manage to pick these stock successfully. At 1.05, there should be limited downside and expect its dividend to be declare by end of the month.

Anonymous said...

Yeah! Encorp swing back to gain!!!!! paper profit ........:D)

Anonymous said...

Start selling some Encorp at 1.13-1.15, realize very handsome intraday profit :)

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