Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Small stocks, big yields

SOME of the high dividend yielding stocks can be found in the small capitalised (small cap) stocks universe. A good number boasted steady earnings over the past year, and have built up a reputation as generous paymasters with regular distributions to shareholders.

They are decent defensive bets in an unpredictable environment, although investors have to be prepared to stomach volatile price swings, often amplified by the lack of tradable shares in the market.

A stockbroker recently took 13 small and mid-cap companies for a roadshow to meet fund managers. There were a few interesting soundbites from a report by conference organiser CIMB Research.

For instance, it noted that the event provided the opportunity for some fund managers to meet the management of CI Holdings Bhd (CIH) for the first time. The maker and distributor of soft drink and fruit juices has had a long relationship with PepsiCo that started in 1973.

It has moved on from its torrid years in the early part of the decade. Over the past three years, profits have been on a rising trend.

CIMB Research analyst Norziana Mohd Inon has forecast that CIH’s earnings will hit a new high of RM35mil in fiscal year ended June 30, 2010.

A projected 10 sen dividend payout would give a decent yield of 4.3%. This will match the 12-month yield of Nestle (M) Bhd, which has a market value of RM8bil. CIH’s market capitalisation stands at RM340mil.

Another company, Daibochi Plastics & Packaging Bhd, offers an interesting mix of earnings growth and a steady dividend rate that comes at a relatively cheap entry price, particularly after a recent decline in its share price. Records show that the company has been paying dividends twice a year for over a decade.

At RM3.08 a share, the stock offered a hefty dividend yield of 7% and good upside potential for capital appreciation.

Daibochi’s current market value is about RM235mil, but average daily volume transacted is less than 100,000 shares.
High payouts

Meanwhile, a quick search on the Bloomberg terminal revealed that a number of recently listed companies are already promising high payouts.

Telco giant Maxis Bhd and computer hard disk maker JCY International Bhd are the big companies with decent yields, but these are actually mature businesses that recently went public.

A small firm with a big dividend yield is rubber hose maker Wellcall Holdings Bhd. The Ipoh-based firm went public in 2006 and had been paying dividends to shareholders every year since.

At the current market price and based on analyst estimates, its total dividend payout for this year will be a massive 12%. That is triple the return compared to putting cash in the safety of fixed deposits.

Investing in small cap stocks, however, can be treacherous. But companies with healthy track records are investors’ best bet in navigating for bargains in the small cap universe.

To help investors make informed investment decisions, the exchange provides free investment research on certain listed companies under its CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme. The research coverage is paid for by Bursa Malaysia and the listed company itself.

A stockbroker that is big on promoting small-cap stocks is OSK Research. For the past five years, it had published an annual book compiling write-ups on a selection of small-cap companies. This is on top of regular updates issued to clients.

This year’s edition was launched in May and featured a list of 50 companies dubbed the “50 Jewels.’’ It is a gold mine for investors looking to invest in so-called undiscovered gems.

Meanwhile, CIMB Research issues its Small Cap Monitor to clients on a regular basis, which provides reviews on selected companies that usually fly below the radar of most investors.

21 comments:

Anonymous said...

High dividend yield stock always provide some buffer to investor in time of uncertainly. I'm rather concentrate and fully invested in these high yield stock than trade too frequent and time market next movement.

Anonymous said...

Just wanna to highlight two top holding stocks in the portfoloio


1. Bjtoto 115% (cost: 4.34)

Catalyst a: Cum dividend 8sen TE

Catalyst b: MTN raise 500m-800m on July; potentially declare special dividend of 20-30sen by August, which consider is upfront dividend payment for 2011,


2. MBF 85.6% (cost 70sen)

Catalyst a: Cum dividend 5sen

Catalyst b: Valuation PE<5x

Catalyst c: Major shareholder control 83% stake, must rectify by August: potentially another privatize or if reach 90% stake become unconditionally MGO

A Common Believer said...

cool pick bro.. regarding on the topic, small stocks, big yields, instead of being higlighted for the daibochi.. I think boxpak is another gem unknown to many.. good div.. low pe... same industry for the stock.. just the vol is a bit dying out

Anonymous said...

Urban

In regard to Daiboci, i've it last year, which i', hold at cost of about 69sen, dividend at 5sen. But soon after ex-dividend, these stock which many think link to Tun Daim, skyrocket from above RM 1 mark to RM 2 and until now RM3....

Anonymous said...

horse

I've yesterday re-enter Citibank, bought at average S3.742, ..Although still below my target entry price of below $3.66, but i've opinion that yesterday Citi may oversold....

Anonymous said...

成功集團 博彩業越 韓 有新發展
概念股止跌回揚

報導:張潔瑩

(吉隆坡29日訊)儘管失意于馬來西亞的賭球執照,但成功集團(BJCORP,3395,主要板貿易)主席丹斯里陳志遠昨日告訴分析員,集團博彩業務在越南及韓國有新發展。

昨日下跌的成功集團概念股,今日紛紛回彈。

賭球合法化遙遙無期,成功集團放眼旗下其他業務將繼續發展,中長期獲利仍值得期待。

成功集團股價從2月新低回彈,再度因交投熱烈躋進10大熱門股榜,其他概念股亦受消息振奮,今日一律止跌回揚。

陳志遠昨日再度召開會議,並親自向逾40名博彩領域分析員解釋集團接下來的發展計劃。

興業證券研究分析報告指出,陳志遠在會上提及,即將在週三(30日)推介招股書的成功零售(Berjaya Retail),及將申請上市的成功食品(Berjaya Food),皆是集團中期看俏的發展。

“他亦透露旗下博彩部門分別在越南和韓國有新拓展計劃,相信長期而言有望為公司帶來更高獲利。”

陳志遠在會上指出,成功多多未來“極有可能”派發更高股息。

稍早前報導指出,成功多多(BJTOTO,1562,主要板貿易)將進軍越南測字市場;成功置地(BJLAND,4219,主要板貿易)則在韓國濟州島擁有發展計劃。

展示政府信函

除了講述公司發展潛能和計劃,陳志遠亦在會上闡明集團在賭球執照上的立場,並出示各項文件強調所做出的宣佈並非無稽之談。

分析員指出,陳志遠在會上出示財政部發出的2封信函,發出日期分別是今年 1月13日和1990年6月5日。

“財政部在1990年向愛勝閣運動(Ascot Sports)發出的信件注明,若日后政府決定將賭球合法化,該公司將優先獲得經營權。”

陳志遠:卜基花至少1億
阻撓取賭球執照

陳志遠說,卜基不惜花費1億至3億令吉,來阻撓他取得賭球執照;但成功集團將續等待適合時機,再爭取賭球合法化。

儘管成功集團再度“射飛進球”,陳志遠並不打算放棄賭球合法化,並表示會等待時機再度出擊。

“馬來西亞局內人”引述出席說明會的博彩領域分析師披露,陳志遠在會上指責卜基想方設法阻止集團取得賭球執照。

陳志遠當時也指責說,首相拿督斯里納吉在賭球合法化上的反覆立場,應追究在民聯身上。

稍早前報導說,非法賭球在本地市場的規模高達200億令吉,為首相口中100億令吉的市值高出逾倍。

政府原計劃將賭球合法化,以便遏止非法賭球市場,縮小合法市與非法市場之間的差距。

分析界普遍亦對之前決定表示歡迎,只因此舉將為國家帶來龐大的稅務收入。

母公司冀直接持有
成功多多派息料提高

成功集團欲增持成功多多直接納入旗下,未有打算將后者除牌下市,派息率有望進一步提高。

早前,該集團聯合間接子公司,以2.5億令吉在公開市場增持成功多多4.24%持股已引市場揣測。

陳志遠昨日出人意表地在會上向分析師透露,有意“跨越”成功置地,將成功多多直接納入集團旗下。

目前,成功集團持有成功置地53.8%股權,成功置地則是成功多多最大股東,持43.5%股權。

陳志遠則分別持成功置地和成功多多7.24%和4.57%股份。

詢及是否有意在增持子公司后將之除牌下市,陳志遠指出此類計劃耗費大筆資金,因此不是增持條件之一。

興業證券研究分析師指出,無論結果如何,對成功多多而言,影響僅在于大股東的變動,料不造成過度衝擊。

另外,分析師亦估計,隨著陳志遠表示不排除未來將派更高股息,2011財年和 2012財年派息率將介于凈利的80%至85%。

綜上所述,興業證券研究維持成功多多“跑贏大市”評級,合理價格提高至5.05令吉

horse said...

hng,

i think trade between the range for C should be lots of opprtunity there. In fact very good entry for C at 3.74, tonight can sell back at3.8+ :).

u seem to be non-stop making money. just can't wait to follow yr foot step but now just not my time.

Bjtoto is a sure win counter i think, just need to be patient i guess else you still hv 8sen there to nibble. Future div is bright as well. :)

horse said...

Genting SP is inching higher. :)

Anonymous said...

horse

I've yesterday sold back all Citi at $3.83, realize contra gain. I'm waiting to re-enter again today, preferably below $3.70.

Locally, market continue on correction, main core holding bjtoto slump again due to gov increase pool betting duty from 6% to 8%, incur on all NFO, affect market sentiment on bjtoto, MPHB and tanjong :(



INCREASE IN POOL BETTING DUTY

The Board of Directors of Berjaya Sports Toto Berhad ("BToto") wishes to inform that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Sports Toto Malaysia Sdn Bhd ("STMSB") has received a letter dated 29 June 2010 from the Ministry of Finance on the revision of the tax and duties on gaming activities in Malaysia.

The pool betting duty applicable to STMSB, which is based on its gross turnover after deduction of the gaming tax payable, has been increased from 6% to 8%. This new rate is applicable on draws starting from 1 June 2010.

Barring any other unforeseen circumstances and taking into account the launch of the new game Supreme Toto 6/58 in March 2010, the Directors remain optimistic that the operating performance of the BToto Group for the financial year ending 30 April 2011 will be good.

Anonymous said...

Citi share hit my target entry price, bought citibank at S3.65.....

A Common Believer said...

GenM buying UK casion from Genting SP. Bet, instead of special div, they still want to lock the money. from left hand to right hand..

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2010/7/2/business/6592646&sec=business

Anonymous said...

Urban

GENM has become scapegoat of RPT, is target buyer from asset disposal either from Lim family (BROMET LIMITED AND DIGITAL TREE (USA)/genting (Wisma genting)/GENS (UK casino)....

A Common Believer said...

hi hng,

yes. that's why i am deeply considering the intention to dispose my position in this counter. a few justification though

UK
01. pound gettings historic low. bad buy near term, good buy long term? but pound will be kept low for medium if not long period to entice growth
02. genting SP maybe not as shiny as planned. need to shed those heavy luggage out from this
03. genting is preparing for a possible intense competition in malaysia due to instability of malaysia politic in coming election
04. I personally like UK exposure if not their fragile regulation

just my 2 "pence"

Anonymous said...

Urban

Almost half of the today share trading value derive from GENM alone...

Well, GENM share current weakness may entice trader seeking for quick swing. But, i current portfolio already full, trade only US stock now..

As you rightly point out, UK casino acquisition may be good for longterm, but definitely its earning dilution in short term as all UK casino are in loss, which may exacerbate if Euro zone continue in debt crisis. Impairment in asset may be record in FY2011 and GENM also miss in interest income.

A Common Believer said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
A Common Believer said...

hi hng,

I agree on your view. I believe it is going to be a long hold. but with the fragility of genting structure at this moment, GenM is the best solid port to park their heavy investment of this. The wrong investment timing really bite them well on their UK venture, on my view. Looking at their recent activities, they indeed try to groom GenM to sail through the rough sea with more and more fix income generation source to balance off the volatility of these additional luggage. With Wisma Genting and US bonds, these are just backstage work before the real show starts off, I believe. All of this provide oppor and threat at the same time.

Within this 3 - 5 years horizon, I personally think these UK investment will not bode well to GenM, loss or the most, slight surprise on small profit. So, the price may stagnant or side way for some time and in best scenario play slow catch up with the bull mart if any. Those with patient, can try it up with recent weakness. But frankly, holding this stock for the past 3 years with the hope of unlocking the cash pile has really weaken my hope on her. Nevertheless, it is still a good hold for those who believed, at least it has good asset base (provided the investment in UK contribute) and her dividend yield is slightly above the FD rate (also provided they sustain instead of rebuilding their cash pile again) and also, their free coupons :). Just my personal view

Anonymous said...

The role of GENM being BANKER within genting group will be remain so long as GENM still hold huge cash pile. Its parent company: Genting; sister company: GENS and major shareholder: Lim family will try to siphon cash from GENM. As the fact that one asset is not good enough for these company , why must it be good enough for GENM. This has raise the issue of good corporate governance....

Anonymous said...

GENM is current in the midst of bidding process to develop and operate a Video Lottery Facility at the Aqueduct Racetrack in the city of New York. If success, there will be more capex and Lim family will have ample of reason to dispose its private assets namely resort hotel cum private club in US to GENM to so call complement GENM strategy and expansion....

horse said...

the greatest beneficial would be GenSP i think.

i'm losing faith on genm, would try reduce my holding on this. :(

good corporate governance is really seriously at stake.

horse said...

my favorite team Brazil lost. :(

A Common Believer said...

Finally, I grab more GenM when the price is stress down to 2.5. Will grab some bucks and on next week or so, when the price slightly consolidated and back on strength after the mist is clear, will start to q to sell

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