Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Genting SP a steal at current price ????


Everyone know Genting Resorts World Sentaso is starting its debut sometime in January 2010. Lets do some "lazy" calculation by working out the projection earning that it may bring in in year 2010. Of cource one just don't swallow what i bring to you here, it may all just turn out to be a crab for goodness sake. Again do you homework and find out all facts by yourself, no one you can really trust when come to real $$$ and invesment. I wish to mention here, the figure that i work out here is an estimation and largely possible a fictitious figure because as told before i am just a lazy guy. Trust at your own risk.

Assuming........
Fund raising of S$1.63b through RI of 2.04b shares at S$0.80 has just been concluded.
Let say this represent 25% of total share issued of GSP. Which mean 2.04b x 5 will give new total share issued of = 10.2b shares. Just take it as good for now, just too lazy to find out... :(

Estimated revenue for year 2010 is USD3b, this represent S$4.25b+-. Take the whole revenue as net profit...:) who knows ?? the figure might be higher.... :)

That will give us, an estimated EPS of 4.25b/10.2b = 41.67sen.......

Lets talk about PE, at current price GSP is trading a PE of 1.17/0.4167 = 2.8sen...
WOW, believe it or not, so low ???? Basing the industry gambling PE say.... 5sen is the worst i can think off, that will represent a fair value of S$2.08.... almost can deliver double of investment at current price. Guys, don't believe me this is just work out from imagination. If you choose to believe, at current price is a steal..... :)

FYI, i took in 2 batches of GSP at price of S$0.70 and S$1.11 respectively, also exercised partial of RI.



Recent News of GSP :-

Malaysian gambling concern Genting Bhd. is on track for a partial opening of its Singapore casino-resort by Christmas, stealing the lead on a competing project by Sheldon Adelson's Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Officially, Genting hasn't strayed from its target date of early 2010 for the opening of its US$4.4 billion Resorts World on the holiday island of Sentosa. But despite its cautious public projections, the developer has quietly been preparing for an earlier ramp-up, and a consensus is emerging among market-watchers that Resorts World will open ahead of Sands' Marina Bay Sands project in the heart of Singapore's business district.
Beating Sands to opening day would allow Resorts World to capitalize on the excitement around Singapore's long-awaited entry into gambling. Singapore's government for decades resisted allowing casinos, but reversed that policy in 2005. Morgan Stanley estimates Singapore's gambling industry could generate between US$3 billion and US$3.7 billion of revenue in its first year of operation.
Singapore's casinos are also well-placed to tap a deep reservoir of interest in Southeast Asia, and could take business from Macau casinos.
An earlier opening by Genting would be a setback for Sands, which won approval from Singapore's government to open a casino six months ahead of Genting and had for years been widely expected to open as Singapore's first casino.
Under Singapore law, local residents will be required to pay an entrance fee of 100 Singapore dollars (US$72) per casino visit or an annual membership fee of S$2,000 for each casino. That gives whoever opens shop first a chance to stake out a strong position in the marketplace, according to Praveen Choudhary, a Morgan Stanley analyst.
A spokesperson for the Sands' Marina Bay Sands project declined to comment on Resorts World's timetable, but maintained its stated position that the Marina Bay project was "targeting to open" in the first quarter of 2010, though with only about 1,000 of its 2,600 hotel rooms ready, as well as most of the convention center, the casino and up to half of the retail shops completed. "The rest of the attractions will open progressively throughout the year," the spokesperson said.
Since Sands won its bid in May 2006, construction delays and high-level management changes have bedeviled the ambitious $5 billion project. As the credit crunch threatened Sands' financial health last fall, Mr. Adelson issued several news releases to reaffirm the company's commitment to the Singapore project.
One particularly challenging feature of the Sands project is its SkyPark, a 7,000-ton cantilevered floating garden that perches atop the project's three 55-story hotel towers. Sands says the public observation deck will be longer horizontally than the Eiffel Tower is tall.
In its official statements, Genting is delicate about the timing. Lim Soon Hua, who is marketing Resorts World in four mainland Chinese cities as well as Taipei and Hong Kong, said in an interview Wednesday in Hong Kong that the project was "moving very fast," with rollercoasters and rides at the casino project's Universal Studios project undergoing testing.
"We are on time, and [Sands has] said that they are delayed," Mr. Lim said. "As to which will be first, that's the $100,000 question—no one knows yet." But, he added that anyone who went and "took a look" would see the difference.
Over the summer, Genting announced a three-day charity benefit concert for mid-December at Resorts World, which analysts say indicates a late 2009 "soft opening" of the casino-resort.
Aaron Fischer, who covers the Asian casino business for CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, said he believed Genting "is well on track for a late December opening," though he expected the opening to be restricted to high-rollers and loyal Genting clients ahead of grand opening in mid-February 2010.
Genting, which has a gambling monopoly in its home market of Malaysia, bought a 3.2% stake in MGM Mirage Inc. in June.

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

sold Hinyap at 1.20, realize paper profit

Anonymous said...

sold some more HIngyap at 1.21, realize higher paper profit :)

Anonymous said...

Bought more IOIcorp at last bidding time at 5.38; to average down holding to 5.395

Today portfolio have further cut stake on Hingyap at 1.20-1.21; and add some Dijaya at 90.5-91sen.

Core portfolio
Dijaya 86.6%
Protasco 43.4%
Lonbisc 29.4%
Hingyap 5.9%

Trading portfolio
IOIcorp 16.7%

horse said...

hng,

non-stop making profit every single day.. :)
Salute.

Anonymous said...

horse

Trading become more challenging and diffiuclt toward the end of the year. But, this time also is learning period to acquire skill in this quiet time and sideway market, in order to better equip and become more sophisficate trader cum investor :)

horse said...

Traditionally, year end is always the case. Many go on holiday, no excisement in mkt.. :(
Time to take a good rest as well :)

horse said...

I believe next month the mkt will flex it muscle again. :)
Clinge on to that, may be can reap even more profit. :)

Anonymous said...

sold partial Dijaya at 94-94.5sen

Anonymous said...

sold protasco at 97sen; hingyap at 1.22, realize more paper profit :)

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